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Central Florida at UTEP

February 21st 2011 15:58
Well I hope everyone jumped on that over last night in the UCLA and Cal game to give us another Free Play winner. There is not a huge card today but I do have two total plays that I like and the one is my Top College Basketball play of the day in the Big East and the other is my free play in the Central FL and UTEP game.

Free Play: C. Florida and UTEP under 129.5

Tonight’s matchup features two teams that are both struggling on the offensive side of the ball as of late. The Central Florida Knights are averaging just 60.8 points per game the last five games which is 7.4 points lower then their season average. The UTEP Miner are averaging just 64.2 points per game the last five games which is 6.1 points per game lower then their season average.


The defense from both of these teams continues to play outstanding like they have all year. The Knights are allowing just 62.6 points per game the last five games which are about what they allow on the season. UTEP on the other hand is allowing just 61.4 points per game the last five games which is about 2 points lower then their season average. UTEP this season at home has stepped up their defense even more allowing just 59.6 points per game but has even improved over their last five home games allowing just 57.6 points per game.

There are few trends I like for this game tonight.

-The under is 8-1 this season for UTEP at home this season.
-The under is 5-3 this season for C Florida on the road this season.
-The under is 8-2 this season for UTEP against teams above .500.
-The under is 9-5 this season for C Florida against teams above .500.
-The under is 12-2 for UTEP as a favorite this season.
-The under is 5-0 the last five games for C. Florida in Conference play.

-The under is 4-1 the last five games for C. Florida after a loss.
-The under is 7-2 the last nine games for UTEP in Conference Play.

These two teams are struggling on offense and the defense has been outstanding all year for them. We should see 65-68 possessions from each of these two teams tonight and with poor shooting as of late and strong defense this game is going to under the total. Let’s grab the under and cash us a free play winner tonight in this Conference USA matchup.
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Comments
2 Comments. [ Add A Comment ]

Comment by Joe Soriano

February 22nd 2011 05:03
I am taking the over. I usually take the under, but I think both teams end up at a 69-67 score or something like that.

Comment by nbageek

February 23rd 2011 00:41
Yeah gotta go with a close game and the over.

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