Dallas at Denver
February 10th 2011 21:48
Well what a bad call by me last night thinking that Air Force was going to give BYU a competitive game. Well I am now 5-2 the last seven games as I look to get back to winning ways tonight with my free plays. My paid play came through again last night as the Bulls 2 got the outright win in Utah.. I am going to jump over to the NBA tonight, even with the small card I have found a play in the Dallas and Denver game that I like.
Free Play: Dallas Mavericks 3.
Dallas (37-15) enters tonight’s matchup quietly on a ten game winning streak while going 6-4 ATS in that streak and 2-0 ATS as an underdog during the streak. During this 10 game winning streak they have played five of the game on the road in which they are averaging 100.8 points per game which is 3.8 point higher then their season road average. The defense is playing well themselves allowing just 94.4 points per game over that span. Dallas has played really well this year on the road against teams above .500, going 10-3 ATS and the Mavs are 6-4 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 points or less. The Mavs are 12-4 the last 16 games as a road underdog. Dallas is 5-1 ATS after scoring 100 plus points the previous game.
Denver (30-23) enters this matchup really in complete disarray. The Nuggets are just 2-3 the last five games and have gone 2-3 ATS. Denver is really struggling on the defensive side of the ball as of late. Denver is allowing 105.4 points per game the last five games but they are averaging 109 points per game on offense. The Nuggets defense has allowed 100 plus points in 13 of their last 14 games. Allowing that many points tonight to a Dallas team that plays outstanding defense is going to be tough to overcome especially with all the turmoil going on in this locker room right now. Denver is 0-3-1 the last four games when playing on 0 days rest. Denver is 1-5 ATS this season after a 0-4 point loss.
Look for Dallas to come out tonight and give this Denver team a battle. The Mavericks have played top teams this season strong and that should happen again tonight. With all of the turmoil going on in the locker room in Denver I think it is going to get to them again tonight in which they need to be focused against a talented team like Dallas tonight. Play Dallas plus the three points tonight and don’t be surprised if they win this game outright.
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