Minnesota at Utah
January 28th 2011 21:00
Well we hit another free play lasts night with the over in the North Texas and La Lafayette game. That makes us 5-2 the last seven days with free plays. Let’s keep that going tonight as I jump over to the NBA tonight for our free play. Not much on the college card but the NBA is looking good tonight.
Free Play NBA: Minnesota Timberwolves 7
we lost some value in this play already since the line has dropped big time due to Deron Williams being out for Utah. There is still some value left in this play since Minnesota could shock a lot of people tonight and win this game SU.
Minnesota comes into this game struggling as of late. The Timberwolves are 0-5 SU the last five games and only 1-4 ATS in those games. Minnesota’s defense is playing horrible in the last five game allowing 118.8 points per game but the offense is playing its best that it has all season averaging 110.8 points per game and shooting over 46% in those five games. Minnesota is 4-1 ATS their last five road games against a team with a home winning % above .600.
Utah is actually playing worse then Minnesota right now. The Jazz now has to play without their star point guard who is out. Utah is 0-5 the last five games while going 0-5 ATS in those games. The offense for Utah has fallen apart the last five games. Utah is averaging just 92.4 points per game the last five games which are almost eight points lower then their season average. The defense is in the same boat allowing 108.2 points per game the last five games which are about nine points higher then their season average. Utah is just 1-4 ATS this season as a favorite of 7-7.5 points. The Jazz is 8-11 ATS after a loss this season. Utah is 0-5 ATS the last five games after a loss. Utah is 1-4 ATS the last five home games. The Jazz is 2-3 ATS the last five games against teams under .500. Utah is just 1-4 SU and 1-4 ATS the last five games on one day of rest.
Minnesota plays this Utah team tough usually. Minnesota is 7-3 ATS the last ten games against Utah and has actually won three of the last six SU. Even if Deron Williams was playing in this game and I was getting the nine points that it originally opened at I would have still played Minnesota. Both of these teams are struggling and it is hard to give this many points to a team that matchups up well against you and plays you tough and now to do it without your star player. Give me the seven points and look for Minnesota to play this Utah team tough tonight.
Don't forget to jump over to my page and get on board with tonight NBA top play that I have for sale.
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