Montana at Northern Colorado
March 9th 2011 20:28
I am back today with a free play that I have up. I continue to stay hot with my paid plays hitting another won last night with Princeton blowing out Penn to get themselves into a play in game with Harvard for the Ivy League title. I am not 8-0 my last 8 plaid plays and 6-0 my last 6 Top Plays. Today for the free play we are going to jump into College Basketball for the Big Sky Conference final.
Free Play: Northern Colorado -3.5
Montana enters tonight’s matchup winning 3 of their last 5 but is just 2-3 ATS. The Grizzlies are struggling offensively though averaging just 63.3 points per game the last 4 games and scoring less then 60 in 3 of those 4. That is not a good thing for them tonight since they are on the road facing a Northern Colorado team who is one of the best defensive teams at home this season in college basketball. Montana is just 6-10 ATS on the road this season and is just 1-4 ATS as an underdog this season. Montana has struggled against better teams this season going just 1-5 ATS on the road against teams that are above .500. Montana is 0-5 ATS their last five road games and is 0-4 ATS on the road against teams with a home winning % above .600.
Northern Colorado enters this matchup on a 6 game winning streak but they are just 2-3 ATS in those games. The Bears offense has really taken off in that 6 game winning streak averaging 79.2 points per game which is 8 point better than their season average. The Bears this season at home has played outstanding defense in which they are allowing just 55.8 points per game and teams shoot just 36.4% on them when they are at home. The Bears are 6-2-1 ATS this season at home and are 1-0 ATS on 0 days of rest. Northern Colorado is 4-2 ATS at home this season against teams that are above .500. The Bears are 9-4 ATS the last 13 games as a favorite of .5-6.5 points.
These two teams met twice already this season with both teams winning one game apiece. The Montana Grizzlies though are heading into a very tough environment tonight. This is not going to be easy for the Grizzlies to deal with the crowd and the emotional factor that will be on Northern Colorado’s side knowing they can clinch their tournament birth in front of their home crowd. Look for the Bears to take care of business tonight and give their home fans a celebration tonight.
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