Rhode Island vs Richmond
March 11th 2011 17:57
Well we picked up another free play winner last night even though I needed overtime to make it three in a row now but a win is a win and that’s how this business works. I have another free play tonight in College Basketball looking to make it 4 in a row.
Free Play: Richmond -5.5
Rhode Island (19-12, 10-7) enters this matchup tonight knowing they can beat this Richmond team since they did go into Richmond back in January and knock off the Spiders on their home court. Rhode Island has been up and down as of late, winning one or two them losing a game or two. They are not staying consistent with winning. The Rams of Rhode Island are averaging 72 points per game the last five games which is 3 points better then their season average while their defense is allowing 67 points per game. The problem for Rhode Island though is they have struggled defensively away from home this season where they are allowing 72 points per game. Rhode Island is just 3-5 ATS on the road this season against teams that are above .500. Rhode Island is just 1-4 ATS their last 5 games after a win. The Rams are a horrible 5-22-1 the last 28 games after an ATS win. The Rams are also 0-3-1 ATS the last 4 games on a neutral court as an underdog.
Richmond (24-7, 13-3) enters this matchup tonight looking for revenge from that upset to Rhode Island at home back in early January. In Richmond’s mind there is no better time to do that since they get a chance to knock the Rams out of the conference tournament and put a halt on their chances on an NCAA tournament berth. Richmond is playing really well right now winning 4 of their last 5 and 8 of their last 9. Richmond is playing outstanding on the defensive side of the ball as of late allowing more then 65 points just once in the last 9 games. The last five games the Spiders are allowing just 61.4 points per game while the offense is averaging 68.8 points per game. Richmond is 10-6 ATS on the road this season and is 6-2 ATS as a favorite of 5-7 points. The Spiders are also 4-0 ATS their last 4 Atlantic 10 games. The Spiders are 5-0 ATS their last five games as a favorite. Richmond is 20-8-2 their last 30 games against teams that have a winning % above .600.
Richmond is going to get their revenge tonight. Look for the Spiders to shut down this Rhode Island team and limit their chances on getting into the NCAA Tournament. I am not huge on taking favorite this time of year but I have this feeling that Richmond takes care of business tonight so I will lay the points with the Spiders in this one to cash us a free play winning ticket.
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