Sacramento Kings at Oklahoma CityThunder
February 15th 2011 17:50
Well that was a tough one to swallow yesterday having Tennessee Tech win by just 2 points. We have those kinds of days but I am still 8-4 the last 12 days on free plays. I look to get back to winning ways today as I jump over to the NBA for my free play in the Sacramento Kings at Oklahoma City Thunder games.
Free Play: Sacramento Kings and Oklahoma City Thunder Over 209
I would like to start by saying these two teams played 3 days ago and they finished with just 196 points which was 12.5 points below the posted total. These two teams also played back on 12/17/10 and finished 13.5 points below the posted total of 202.5. Why am I playing the over in this game today?
Sacramento enters this matchup as one of the top 10 teams for possessions on the road this year averaging 98.6 possessions per game when on the road. The Kings are also a team that does play horrible defense on the road in which they are in the bottom 10 in defense efficiency away from home. The Kings will face an Oklahoma City team that is in the same boat as them though. Oklahoma City is in the top 10 for possessions at home this season while the Thunder are also in the bottom 10 for defense efficiency at home this season.
Sacramento comes into this game just 1-4 the last five games but is 3-2 ATS. The Kings are averaging 102.8 points per game the last five games while allowing 105.8 points per game. Sacramento has had their struggles on the road this year where they are just 6-16 SU while going 11-11 ATS. The Kings are averaging 98.9 points per game on the road this season while allowing 105.8 points per game. Sacramento though has averaged 103.8 points per game their last five road games while allowing just 100.6 points per game. Sacramento has played nine games on the road this season against teams in the top 10 in possessions at home and they have seen the total go over five out of those nine games. The Kings are averaging 104 points per game while allowing 110 points per game in those nine games. Sacramento has played 11 games on the road against teams in the bottom ten in defense efficiency at home this season and has seen the total go over in six of those 11 games. The Kings are averaging 102 points per game while allowing 105 points per game.
Oklahoma City enters this matchup just 3-2 SU the last five games while going 2-3 ATS. The Thunder are averaging 105.2 points per game the last five games while allowing 102.8 points per game. Oklahoma City this year is averaging 107 points per game at home while allowing 102.8 points per game. The Thunder has had very good success at home this year going 18-8 SU but just 13-13 ATS. The Thunder has seen 19 of their 26 home games go over the posted total this year. Oklahoma City this season has played 11 games at home against teams in the top 10 in possessions on the road and they have seen nine of those 11 games go over the total. The Thunder is averaging 111 points per game in those 11 games while allowing 104 points per game. Oklahoma City has played 10 games at home this season against teams in the bottom 10 in defense efficiency on the road and they have seen eight of those 10 games go over the posted total. In those ten games the Thunder are averaging 113 points per game while allowing 101 points per game.
The Kings and the Thunder both play a very fast pace game. We are going to see that again tonight and with both of these teams have weaker defenses there is going to be scoring. The first two meeting between these clubs did involve a lot of possessions but what you want to look at is how horrible they both have shot the three point shot. Oklahoma City in two games against the Kings this year is 5 for 28 from three point land. That is horrible for a team that shoots over 35% from behind the arc. The Kings are in the same boat making just 3 of their 23 three point shots in the first two games. I do not think that will continue tonight and with these teams hitting some threes and the fast pace they play this game is going to go over the total. The books do not give away money and with the first two meeting going under the total why would they open this line up at 208. This will be a higher scoring game so jump on the over in this game and cash another winning ticket.
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Comment by Joe Soriano
Pro Sports Wrap
Orble Sport Blog
Comment by Mike Cortright
Sports World
NCAA Mens Basketball Picks
I am not huge on over's myself but this game looks like it is primed for the over. I just do not see these two teams shooting below 20% from behind the arc for the third game between them. I like the pace they both play at and with how weak they both play defene this should see some points.
Comment by nbageek
NBA Geek
sportsworld