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St. Peter's at Niagara

February 4th 2011 18:21
I picked up another free play winner last night making it two in a row now. I am going to stay in College Basketball again tonight with another total play that I like and that should cash another winner.

Free Play: St. Peter’s and Niagara under 123 points.

Well just like last night I am sure people are wondering why play the under when these two teams just played about 20 days ago and the game ended with 134 points on a total that was set at 123.5. Remember that the books don’t give away free money so there is a reason behind this line being set this low.

St. Peter’s (13-9) enters this matchup tonight struggling on the road this season. The Peacocks are just 4-6 on the road and are only averaging 51.9 points per game away from home on the season which is eight points lower then their season average. The Peacocks defense on the road is allowing just 60.7 points per game and teams too shoot just 39.5% against them. St. Peter’s has played even better defense as of late allowing just 55.3 points per game the last three games with a defense efficiency of just .803.


There are a few trends that I like tonight that are in favor of the under for St. Peter’s. The under is 7-1-1 on the road this season for St. Peter’s. The under is 4-0 the last four games on the road for St. Peter’s as a road favorite. The under is 12-3 the last 15 games on the road against a team with a losing home record. The under is 24-8 the last 32 games that St. Peter’s has played on a Friday.

Niagara (4-19) has struggled this season. The Purple Eagles are just 2-5 at home on the season in which they are averaging 64.3 points per game while allowing 72.4 points per game. The last five games though Niagara’s offense has disappeared completely. The Purple Eagles are averaging just 55. 4 points per game the last five games and are shooting just 37.9 %. The Defense for them has improved allowing just 62 points per game which is 10 point lower then their season average.


There are a few trends I like that supports the under for Niagara tonight. The under is 2-3 at home this year for Niagara. The under is 11-4 on the year for Niagara after a loss. The under is 7-2 this season for Niagara against teams above .500. The under is 2-0 this season for Niagara as an underdog less then 10 points. The under is 8-3 for Niagara in Conference play this season. The under is 5-1 the last six game for Niagara against a team with a losing road record.

St. Peters has played great defense this entire season. The last three games they have stepped it up and played even better defense. Niagara is a team that is struggling to score points right now and with a defense that is getting better it should help them compete in a few more games down the stretch. Look for these two teams to play a slower pace game with about 65-68 possessions each and the defense should be able to keep this game under the posted total. Let’s play the under to cash another free play ticket.
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1 Comments. [ Add A Comment ]

Comment by Joe Soriano

February 5th 2011 09:07
I am going to agree with you here. I shall take the under.

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